At numerous readers' requests, we publish a simulation model of the epidemic from the March article of the Science Dynamics Review - Coronavirus still on the prowl.
You can download the two-file archive (Epidemics4.vmfx and S1.vdfx) with the first scenario by clicking this link. To open and simulate the model, you need the Vensim software, which you can download in the Products section or here.

SD Review